Upfront neck dissection for treatment selection and improvement in quality of life as a novel treatment paradigm for deintensification in HPV+ OPSCC.

PURPOSE: Locoregionally advanced HPV+ oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) has excellent cure rates, although current treatment regimens are accompanied by acute and long-term toxicities. We designed a phase II de-escalation trial for patients with HPV+OPSCC to evaluate the feasibility of an upfront neck dissection to individualize definitive treatment selection to improve quality of life without compromising survival. METHODS: Patients with T1-3, N0-2 HPV+ OPSCC underwent an upfront neck dissection with primary tumor biopsy. Patients with a single lymph node less than six centimeters, with no extracapsular spread(ECS), and no primary site adverse features underwent transoral surgery (Arm A). Patients who had two or more positive lymph nodes with no ECS, or those with primary site adverse features were treated with radiation alone (Arm B). Patients who had ECS in any lymph node were treated with chemoradiation (Arm C). The primary endpoint was quality of life at 1 year compared to a matched historical control. RESULTS: Thirty-four patients were enrolled and underwent selective neck dissection. Based on pathologic characteristics, 14 patients were assigned to arm A, 10 patients to arm B, and 9 to arm C. A significant improvement was observed in HNQOL compared to historical controls (-2.6 vs -11.9, p=0.034). With a median follow-up of 37 months, the 3-year overall survival was 100% and estimated 3-year estimated progression free survival was 96% (95% CI: 76-99%). CONCLUSION: A neck dissection driven treatment paradigm warrants further research as a de-intensification strategy.

ctDNA transiting into urine is ultrashort and facilitates noninvasive liquid biopsy of HPV+ oropharyngeal cancer.

BACKGROUNDTransrenal cell-free tumor DNA (TR-ctDNA), which transits from the bloodstream into urine, has the potential to enable noninvasive cancer detection for a wide variety of nonurologic cancer types.MethodsUsing whole-genome sequencing, we discovered that urine TR-ctDNA fragments across multiple cancer types are predominantly ultrashort (<50 bp) and, therefore, likely to be missed by conventional ctDNA assays. We developed an ultrashort droplet digital PCR assay to detect TR-ctDNA originating from HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV+ OPSCC) and confirmed that assaying ultrashort DNA is critical for sensitive cancer detection from urine samples.ResultsTR-ctDNA was concordant with plasma ctDNA for cancer detection in patients with HPV+ OPSCC. As proof of concept for using urine TR-ctDNA for posttreatment surveillance, in a small longitudinal case series, TR-ctDNA showed promise for noninvasive detection of recurrence of HPV+ OPSCC.ConclusionOur data indicate that focusing on ultrashort fragments of TR-ctDNA will be important for realizing the full potential of urine-based cancer diagnostics. This has implications for urine-based detection of a wide variety of cancer types and for facilitating access to care through at-home specimen collections.FundingNIH grants R33 CA229023, R21 CA225493; NIH/National Cancer Institute grants U01 CA183848, R01 CA184153, and P30CA046592; American Cancer Society RSG-18-062-01-TBG; American Cancer Society Mission Boost grant MBGI-22-056-01-MBG; and the A. Alfred Taubman Medical Research Institute.

Surrogate endpoints in clinical trials of p16-positive squamous cell carcinoma of the oropharynx: an individual patient data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The increased incidence of human papillomavirus (HPV)-related cancers has motivated efforts to optimise treatment for these patients with excellent prognosis. Validation of surrogates for overall survival could expedite the investigation of new therapies. We sought to evaluate candidate intermediate clinical endpoints in trials assessing definitive treatment of p16-positive oropharyngeal cancer with chemotherapy or radiotherapy. METHODS: We did a retrospective review of five multicentre, randomised trials (NRG/RTOG 9003, 0129, 0234, 0522, and 1016) that tested radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy in patients (aged ≥18 years) with p16-positive localised head or neck squamous-cell carcinomas. Eight intermediate clinical endpoints were considered as potential surrogates for overall survival: freedom from local progression, freedom from regional progression, freedom from distant metastasis, freedom from locoregional progression, freedom from any progression, locoregional progression-free survival, progression-free survival, and distant metastasis-free survival. We used a two-stage meta-analytical framework, which requires high correlation between the intermediate clinical endpoint and overall survival at the patient level (condition 1), and high correlation between the treatment effect on the intermediate clinical endpoint and the treatment effect on overall survival (condition 2). For both, an r2 greater than 0·7 was used as criteria for clinically relevant surrogacy. FINDINGS: We analysed 1373 patients with oropharyngeal cancer from May 9, 2020, to Nov 22, 2023. 1231 (90%) of patients were men, 142 (10%) were women, and 1207 (88%) were White, with a median age of 57 years (IQR 51-62). Median follow-up was 4·2 years (3·1-5·1). For the first condition, correlating the intermediate clinical endpoints with overall survival at the individual and trial level, the three composite endpoints of locoregional progression-free survival (Kendall's τ 0·91 and r2 0·72), distant metastasis-free survival (Kendall's τ 0·93 and r2 0·83), and progression-free survival (Kendall's τ 0·88 and r2 0·70) were highly correlated with overall survival at the patient level and at the trial-group level. For the second condition, correlating treatment effects of the intermediate clinical endpoints and overall survival, the composite endpoints of locoregional progression-free survival (r2 0·88), distant metastasis-free survival (r2 0·96), and progression-free survival (r2 0·92) remained strong surrogates. Treatment effects on the remaining intermediate clinical endpoints were less strongly correlated with overall survival. INTERPRETATION: We identified locoregional progression-free survival, distant metastasis-free survival, and progression-free survival as surrogates for overall survival in p16-positive oropharyngeal cancers treated with chemotherapy or radiotherapy, which could serve as clinical trial endpoints. FUNDING: NRG Oncology Operations, NRG Oncology SDMC, the National Cancer Institute, Eli Lilly, Aventis, and the University of Michigan.

In Vivo Microstructure Imaging in Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Using the Random Walk With Barriers Model.

BACKGROUND: Apparent diffusion coefficient is not specifically sensitive to tumor microstructure and therapy-induced cellular changes. PURPOSE: To investigate time-dependent diffusion imaging with the short-time-limit random walk with barriers model (STL-RWBM) for quantifying microstructure parameters and early cancer cellular response to therapy. STUDY TYPE: Prospective. POPULATION: Twenty-seven patients (median age of 58 years and 7.4% of females) with p16+/p16- oropharyngeal/oral cavity squamous cell carcinomas (OPSCC/OCSCC) underwent MRI scans before therapy, of which 16 patients had second scans at 2 weeks of the 7-weeks chemoradiation therapy (CRT). FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 3-T, diffusion sequence with oscillating gradient spine echo (OGSE) and pulse gradient spin echo (PGSE). ASSESSMENT: Diffusion weighted images were acquired using OGSE and PGSE. Effective diffusion times were derived for the STL-RWBM to estimate free diffusion coefficient D0 , volume-to-surface area ratio of cellular membranes V/S, and cell membrane permeability κ. Mean values of these parameters were calculated in tumor volumes. STATISTICAL TESTS: Tumor microstructure parameters were compared with clinical stages of p16+ I-II OPSCC, p16+ III OPSCC, and p16- IV OCSCC by Spearman's rank correlation and with digital pathological analysis of a resected tissue sample. Tumor microstructure parameter responses during CRT in the 16 patients were assessed by paired t-tests. A P-value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: The derived effective diffusion times affected estimated values of V/S and κ by 40%. The tumor V/S values were significantly correlated with clinical stages (r = 0.47) as an increase from low to high clinical stages. The in vivo estimated cell size agreed with one from pathological analysis of a tissue sample. Early tumor cellular responses showed a significant increase in D0 (14%, P = 0.03) and non-significant increases in κ (56%, P = 0.6) and V/S (10%, P = 0.1). DATA CONCLUSION: Effective diffusion time estimation might impact microstructure parameter estimation. The tumor V/S was correlated with OPSCC/OCSCC clinical stages. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 1 TECHNICAL EFFICACY STAGE: 1.

Clinical, morphologic and molecular heterogeneity of HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer.

The incidence of human papillomavirus-positive (HPV+) oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is rising rapidly and has exceeded cervical cancer to become the most common HPV-induced cancer in developed countries. Since patients with HPV + OPSCC respond very favorably to standard aggressive treatment, the emphasis has changed to reducing treatment intensity. However, recent multi-center clinical trials failed to show non-inferiority of de-escalation strategies on a population basis, highlighting the need to select low-risk patients likely to respond to de-intensified treatments. In contrast, there is a substantial proportion of patients who develop recurrent disease despite aggressive therapy. This supports that HPV + OPSCC is not a homogeneous disease, but comprises distinct subtypes with clinical and biological variations. The overall goal for this review is to identify biomarkers for HPV + OPSCC that may be relevant for patient stratification for personalized treatment. We discuss HPV + OPSCC as a heterogeneous disease from multifaceted perspectives including clinical behavior, tumor morphology, and molecular phenotype. Molecular profiling from bulk tumors as well as single-cell sequencing data are discussed as potential driving factors of heterogeneity between tumor subgroups. Finally, we evaluate key challenges that may impede in-depth investigations of HPV + OPSCC heterogeneity and outline potential future directions, including a section on racial and ethnic differences.

Monitoring Adverse Effects of Radiation Therapy in Patients With Head and Neck Cancer: The FACT-HN-RAD Patient-Reported Outcome Measure.

Importance: Patients undergoing radiation therapy (RT) for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) experience a range of debilitating adverse effects (AEs). Patient-reported outcome (PRO) measures to quantify these AEs are a necessary and important component of health care; however, currently available PRO options often measure only disease-related symptoms or AEs of non-RT treatments. Objective: To develop a brief PRO measure of the most common AEs associated with RT for HNSCC. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a qualitative study that followed the US Food and Drug Administration guidelines to develop a brief measure of patient-reported RT-related AEs (the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Head and Neck Radiotherapy [FACT-HN-RAD] measure). The study included (1) a literature review of clinical trials; (2) secondary analysis of retrospective concept elicitation interviews (CEIs); (3) electronic surveys of practicing radiation oncologists; (4) mapping of existing items to inform the development of the draft version of the measure; and (5) validation of content and face validity via patient cognitive interviews. Analysis was performed of CEI data and interviews with practicing radiation oncologists. Data analysis was conducted from July 1, 2022, to April 21, 2023. Exposures: Surveys and qualitative interviews. Main Outcomes and Measures: The most common patient-reported RT-related AEs among patients with HNSCC. Results: Of 19 CEI participants, 14 (mean [range] age, 67 [49-86] years; 12 [86%] men and 2 [14%] women) described RT-related AEs and were included in the secondary analysis. Eleven (79%) patients reported difficulty swallowing; 8 (57%), oral pain; 7 (50%), dry mouth; 7 (50%), weight loss; 6 (43%), skin burning; 5 (36%), loss of taste; 5 (36%), voice changes (36%); and 5 (36%), fatigue. Nine radiation oncologists (mean [range] time in practice, 8 [1-42] years; 5 [56%] men and 4 [44%] women) reported the most common AEs: 9 (100%) reported dysgeusia; 7 (78%), xerostomia; 7 (78%), mucositis or oral pain; 8 (89%), dysphagia or odynophagia; 6 (67%), dermatitis; and 3 (33%), fatigue. Together these data informed the development of an 8-item AE-focused measure of pain, dysphagia, xerostomia, dysgeusia, voice changes, dermatitis, fatigue, and weight loss. Cognitive interviews with 10 patients (mean [range] age, 61 [29-84] years; 8 [80%] men and 2 [20%] women) demonstrated strong face validity; all (100%) reported that the measure reflected their experience with RT and stated that the length of the questionnaire was "just right." Conclusions and Relevance: The 8-item FACT-HN-RAD measure captures the most common patient- and physician-reported AEs related to RT for HNSCC. This measure offers a means to serially monitor patient-reported treatment-related AEs and recovery over time in both clinical and research settings. Future work will evaluate the psychometric validity of the measure.

The Current Role of Human Papillomavirus Circulating Tumor DNA in Oropharynx Cancer.

ABSTRACT: Human papillomavirus infection is currently implicated in the majority of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma cases diagnosed in the United States. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a potential biomarker for human papillomavirus-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma and has the opportunity to improve the diagnosis, treatment, and surveillance of patients with this disease. Changes in ctDNA levels during and after primary therapy may be related to disease response, which can possibly have implications for treatment intensification or de-escalation strategies. Further, ctDNA seems to be sensitive and specific for disease recurrence and may improve upon current methods for assessing both treatment response and failure. In this review, we examine the relevant literature on the use of ctDNA for oropharyngeal cancer treatment and surveillance and discuss current limitations and future directions for this promising biomarker.

The Utility of Interim Positron Emission Tomography Imaging to Inform Adaptive Radiotherapy for Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

ABSTRACT: In this article, as part of this special issue on biomarkers of early response, we review the current evidence to support the use of positron emission tomography (PET) imaging during chemoradiation therapy to inform biologically adaptive radiotherapy for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. We review literature covering this topic spanning nearly 3 decades, including the use of various radiotracers and discoveries of novel predictive PET biomarkers. Through understanding how observational trials have informed current interventional clinical trials, we hope that this review will encourage researchers and clinicians to incorporate PET response criteria in new trial designs to advance biologically optimized radiotherapy.

Development of a high-performance multi-probe droplet digital PCR assay for high-sensitivity detection of human papillomavirus circulating tumor DNA from plasma.

OBJECTIVES: To develop a high-performance droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) assay capable of enhancing the detection of human papillomavirus (HPV) circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in plasma from patients with HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV+ OPSCC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Plasma samples from subjects with HPV+ OPSCC were collected. We developed a high-performance ddPCR assay designed to simultaneously target nine regions of the HPV16 genome. RESULTS: The new assay termed 'ctDNA HPV16 Assessment using Multiple Probes' (CHAMP- 16) yielded significantly higher HPV16 counts compared to our previously validated 'Single-Probe' (SP) assay and a commercially available NavDx® assay. Analytical validation demonstrated that the CHAMP-16 assay had a limit of detection (LoD) of 4.1 copies per reaction, corresponding to < 1 genome equivalent (GE) of HPV16. When tested on plasma ctDNA from 21 patients with early-stage HPV+ OPSCC and known HPV16 ctDNA using the SP assay, all patients were positive for HPV16 ctDNA in both assays and the CHAMP-16 assay displayed 6.6-fold higher HPV16 signal on average. Finally, in a longitudinal analysis of samples from a patient with recurrent disease, the CHAMP-16 assay detected HPV16 ctDNA signal âˆ¼ 20 months prior to the conventional SP assay. CONCLUSION: Increased HPV16 signal detection using the CHAMP-16 assay suggests the potential for detection of recurrences significantly earlier than with conventional ddPCR assays in patients with HPV16+ OPSCC. Critically, this multi-probe approach maintains the cost-benefit advantage of ddPCR over next generation sequencing (NGS) approaches, supporting the cost-effectiveness of this assay for both large population screening and routine post-treatment surveillance.

Patterns of recurrence in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma to inform personalized surveillance protocols.

BACKGROUND: Development of evidence-based post-treatment surveillance guidelines in recurrent/metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (R/M HNSCC) is limited by comprehensive documentation of patterns of recurrence and metastatic spread. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of patients diagnosed with R/M HNSCC at a National Cancer Institute-designated cancer center between 1998- 2019 was performed (n = 447). Univariate and multivariate analysis identified patterns of recurrence and predictors of survival. RESULTS: Median overall survival (mOS) improved over time (6.7 months in 1998-2007 to 11.8 months in 2008-2019, p = .006). Predictors of worse mOS included human papillomavirus (HPV) negativity (hazard ratio [HR], 1.8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2-2.6), high neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (HR, 2.1 [1.4-3.0], disease-free interval (DFI) ≤6 months (HR, 1.4 [1.02-2.0]), and poor performance status (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, ≥2; HR, 1.91.1-3.4). In this cohort, 50.6% of recurrences occurred within 6 months of treatment completion, 72.5% occurred within 1 year, and 88.6% occurred within 2 years. Metachronous distant metastases were more likely to occur in patients with HPV-positive disease (odds ratio [OR], 2.3 [1.4-4.0]), DFI >6 months (OR, 2.4 [1.5-4.0]), and body mass index ≥30 (OR, 2.3 [1.1-4.8]). Oligometastatic disease treated with local ablative therapy was associated with improved survival over polymetastatic disease (HR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.24-0.55). CONCLUSION: These data regarding patterns of distant metastasis in HNSCC support the clinical utility of early detection of recurrence. Patterns of recurrence in this population can be used to inform individualized surveillance programs as well as to risk-stratify eligible patients for clinical trials. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: After treatment for head and neck cancer (HNC), patients are at risk of recurrence at prior sites of disease or at distant sites in the body. This study includes a large group of patients with recurrent or metastatic HNC and examines factors associated with survival outcomes and recurrence patterns. Patients with human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive HNC have good survival outcomes, but if they recur, this may be in distant regions of the body and may occur later than HPV-negative patients. These data argue for personalized follow-up schedules for patients with HNC, perhaps incorporating imaging studies or novel blood tests.

Operational Ontology for Oncology (O3): A Professional Society-Based, Multistakeholder, Consensus-Driven Informatics Standard Supporting Clinical and Research Use of Real-World Data From Patients Treated for Cancer.

PURPOSE: The ongoing lack of data standardization severely undermines the potential for automated learning from the vast amount of information routinely archived in electronic health records (EHRs), radiation oncology information systems, treatment planning systems, and other cancer care and outcomes databases. We sought to create a standardized ontology for clinical data, social determinants of health, and other radiation oncology concepts and interrelationships. METHODS AND MATERIALS: The American Association of Physicists in Medicine's Big Data Science Committee was initiated in July 2019 to explore common ground from the stakeholders' collective experience of issues that typically compromise the formation of large inter- and intra-institutional databases from EHRs. The Big Data Science Committee adopted an iterative, cyclical approach to engaging stakeholders beyond its membership to optimize the integration of diverse perspectives from the community. RESULTS: We developed the Operational Ontology for Oncology (O3), which identified 42 key elements, 359 attributes, 144 value sets, and 155 relationships ranked in relative importance of clinical significance, likelihood of availability in EHRs, and the ability to modify routine clinical processes to permit aggregation. Recommendations are provided for best use and development of the O3 to 4 constituencies: device manufacturers, centers of clinical care, researchers, and professional societies. CONCLUSIONS: O3 is designed to extend and interoperate with existing global infrastructure and data science standards. The implementation of these recommendations will lower the barriers for aggregation of information that could be used to create large, representative, findable, accessible, interoperable, and reusable data sets to support the scientific objectives of grant programs. The construction of comprehensive "real-world" data sets and application of advanced analytical techniques, including artificial intelligence, holds the potential to revolutionize patient management and improve outcomes by leveraging increased access to information derived from larger, more representative data sets.

Increased Nerve Density Adversely Affects Outcome in Oral Cancer.

PURPOSE: Perineural invasion (PNI) in oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is associated with poor survival. Because of the risk of recurrence, patients with PNI receive additional therapies after surgical resection. Mechanistic studies have shown that nerves in the tumor microenvironment promote aggressive tumor growth. Therefore, in this study, we evaluated whether nerve density (ND) influences tumor growth and patient survival. Moreover, we assessed the reliability of artificial intelligence (AI) in evaluating ND. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: To investigate whether increased ND in OSCC influences patient outcome, we performed survival analyses. Tissue sections of OSCC from 142 patients were stained with hematoxylin and eosin and IHC stains to detect nerves and tumor. ND within the tumor bulk and in the adjacent 2 mm was quantified; normalized ND (NND; bulk ND/adjacent ND) was calculated. The impact of ND on tumor growth was evaluated in chick chorioallantoic-dorsal root ganglia (CAM-DRG) and murine surgical denervation models. Cancer cells were grafted and tumor size quantified. Automated nerve detection, applying the Halo AI platform, was compared with manual assessment. RESULTS: Disease-specific survival decreased with higher intratumoral ND and NND in tongue SCC. Moreover, NND was associated with worst pattern-of-invasion and PNI. Increasing the number of DRG, in the CAM-DRG model, increased tumor size. Reduction of ND by denervation in a murine model decreased tumor growth. Automated and manual detection of nerves showed high concordance, with an F1 score of 0.977. CONCLUSIONS: High ND enhances tumor growth, and NND is an important prognostic factor that could influence treatment selection for aggressive OSCC. See related commentary by Hondermarck and Jiang, p. 2342.

Initial Feasibility and Acute Toxicity Outcomes From a Phase 2 Trial of 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography Response-Based De-escalated Definitive Chemoradiotherapy for p16+ Oropharynx Cancer: A Planned Interim Analysis.

PURPOSE: 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) parameters are prognostic of oncologic outcomes in human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). We used FDG-PET imaging biomarkers to select patients for de-escalated chemoradiotherapy (CRT), hypothesizing that acute toxicity will be improved with de-escalation. METHODS AND MATERIALS: This is a planned interim initial feasibility and acute toxicity report from a phase 2, prospective, nonrandomized study, which enrolled patients with stage I-II p16+ OPSCC. All patients started definitive CRT to 70 Gy in 35 fractions, and those who met de-escalation criteria on midtreatment FDG-PET at fraction 10 completed treatment at 54 Gy in 27 fractions. We report the acute toxicity and patient-reported outcomes for 59 patients with a minimum follow-up of 3 months. RESULTS: There were no statistically significant differences between baseline patient characteristics in the standard and de-escalated cohorts. There were 28 of 59 (47.5%) patients who met FDG-PET de-escalation criteria and collectively received 20% to 30% less dose to critical organs at risk known to affect toxicity. At 3 months posttreatment, patients who received de-escalated CRT lost significantly less weight (median, 5.8% vs 13.0%; P < .001), had significantly less change from baseline in penetration-aspiration scale score (median, 0 vs 1; P = .018), and had significantly fewer aspiration events on repeat swallow study (8.0% vs 33.3%, P = .037) compared with patients receiving standard CRT. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately half of patients with early-stage p16+ OPSCC are selected for de-escalation of definitive CRT using midtreatment FDG-PET biomarkers, which resulted in significantly improved rates of observed acute toxicity. Further follow-up is ongoing and will be required to determine whether this de-escalation approach preserves the favorable oncologic outcomes for patients with p16+ OPSCC before adoption.

Tumor immune microenvironment alterations using induction cetuximab in a phase II trial of deintensified therapy for p16-positive oropharynx cancer.

BACKGROUND: We sought to characterize early changes in CD8+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes and tumor transcriptomes after induction cetuximab in a cohort with p16-positive oropharyngeal cancer on a phase II clinical de-escalation trial. METHODS: Tumor biopsies were obtained before and 1 week after a single cetuximab loading dose in eight patients enrolled in a phase II trial of cetuximab and radiotherapy. Changes in CD8+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes and transcriptomes were assessed. RESULTS: One week after cetuximab, five patients (62.5%) had an increase in CD8+ cell infiltration with a median (range) fold change of +5.8 (2.5-15.8). Three (37.5%) had unchanged CD8+ cells (median [range] fold change of -0.85 [0.8-1.1]). In two patients with evaluable RNA, cetuximab induced rapid tumor transcriptome changes in cellular type 1 interferon signaling and keratinization pathways. CONCLUSIONS: Within 1 week, cetuximab induced measurable changes in pro-cytotoxic T-cell signaling and immune content.

Machine Learning Model of Emergency Department Use for Patients Undergoing Treatment for Head and Neck Cancer Using Comprehensive Multifactor Electronic Health Records.

PURPOSE: To use a hybrid method, combining statistical profiling, machine learning (ML), and clinical evaluation to predict emergency department (ED) visits among patients with head and neck cancer undergoing radiotherapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with head and neck cancer treated with radiation therapy from 2015 to 2019 were identified using electronic health record data. Records from 60 days before 90 days after treatment were analyzed. Statistical profiling and ML were used to create a predictive model for ED visits during or after radiation therapy. A comprehensive set of variables were studied. Multiple ML models were developed including extreme gradient-boosted decision tree and generalized logistic regression with comparison of multiple predictive performance metrics. RESULTS: Of the 1,355 patients studied, 13% had an ED visit during or after treatment. Our hybrid methodology enabled evidence-based winnowing of candidate features from 141 to 11 with clinically applicable, evidence-based thresholds. Extreme gradient boosting had the highest area under the curve (0.81 ± 0.06) with a sensitivity of 0.89 ± 0.10 and exceeded generalized logistic regression (area under the curve 0.64 ± 0.02). Significant predictors of ED visits during treatment included increasingly complex opioid use, number of prior ED visits, tumor volume, rate of change of blood urea nitrogen, total bilirubin, body mass index, and distance from hospital. CONCLUSION: Our approach combining bootstrapped statistical profiling and ML importance analysis supported integration of clinician input to identify a distilled set of phenotypical characteristics for developing ML models predicting which patients undergoing head and neck cancer radiation therapy were at risk for ED visits.

Head and Neck Radiation Therapy Patterns of Practice Variability Identified as a Challenge to Real-World Big Data: Results From the Learning from Analysis of Multicentre Big Data Aggregation (LAMBDA) Consortium.

Purpose: Outside of randomized clinical trials, it is difficult to develop clinically relevant evidence-based recommendations for radiation therapy (RT) practice guidelines owing to lack of comprehensive real-world data. To address this knowledge gap, we formed the Learning from Analysis of Multicenter Big Data Aggregation consortium to cooperatively implement RT data standardization, develop software solutions for data analysis, and recommend clinical practice change based on real-world data analyzed. The first phase of this "Big Data" study aimed at characterizing variability in clinical practice patterns of dosimetric data for organs at risk (OARs) that would undermine subsequent use of large-scale, electronically aggregated data to characterize associations with outcomes. Evidence from this study was used as the basis for practical recommendations to improve data quality. Methods and Materials: Dosimetric details of patients with head and neck cancer treated with radiation therapy between 2014 and 2019 were analyzed. Institutional patterns of practice were characterized, including structure nomenclature, volumes, and frequency of contouring. Dose volume histogram (DVH) distributions were characterized and compared with institutional constraints and literature values. Results: Plans for 4664 patients treated to a mean plan dose of 64.4 ± 13.2 Gy in 32 ± 4 fractions were aggregated. Before implementation of TG-263 guidelines in each institution, there was variability in OAR nomenclature across institutions and structures. With evidence from this study, we identified a targeted and practical set of recommendations aimed at improving the quality of real-world data. Conclusions: Quantifying similarities and differences among institutions for OAR structures and DVH metrics is the launching point for next steps to investigate potential relationships between DVH parameters and patient outcomes.

Development and Clinical Implementation of an Automated Virtual Integrative Planner for Radiation Therapy of Head and Neck Cancer.

Purpose: Head and neck (HN) radiation (RT) treatment planning is complex and resource intensive. Deviations and inconsistent plan quality significantly affect clinical outcomes. We sought to develop a novel automated virtual integrative (AVI) knowledge-based planning application to reduce planning time, increase consistency, and improve baseline quality. Methods and Materials: An in-house write-enabled script was developed from a library of 668 previously treated HN RT plans. Prospective hazard analysis was performed, and mitigation strategies were implemented before clinical release. The AVI-planner software was retrospectively validated in a cohort of 52 recent HN cases. A physician panel evaluated planning limitations during initial deployment, and feedback was enacted via software refinements. A final second set of plans was generated and evaluated. Kolmogorov-Smirnov test in addition to generalized evaluation metric and weighted experience score were used to compare normal tissue sparing between final AVI planner versus respective clinically treated and historically accepted plans. A t test was used to compare the interactive time, complexity, and monitor units for AVI planner versus manual optimization. Results: Initially, 86% of plans were acceptable to treat, with 10% minor and 4% major revisions or rejection recommended. Variability was noted in plan quality among HN subsites, with high initial quality for oropharynx and oral cavity plans. Plans needing revisions were comprised of sinonasal, nasopharynx, P-16 negative squamous cell carcinoma unknown primary, or cutaneous primary sites. Normal tissue sparing varied within subsites, but AVI planner significantly lowered mean larynx dose (median, 18.5 vs 19.7 Gy; P < .01) compared with clinical plans. AVI planner significantly reduced interactive optimization time (mean, 2 vs 85 minutes; P < .01). Conclusions: AVI planner reliably generated clinically acceptable RT plans for oral cavity, salivary, oropharynx, larynx, and hypopharynx cancers. Physician-driven iterative learning processes resulted in favorable evolution in HN RT plan quality with significant time savings and improved consistency using AVI planner.

Immunogenetic Determinants of Susceptibility to Head and Neck Cancer in the Million Veteran Program Cohort.

Increasing rates of human papillomavirus (HPV)-driven oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) have largely offset declines in tobacco-associated head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) at non-OPC sites. Host immunity is an important modulator of HPV infection, persistence, and clearance, and also of immune evasion in both virally- and nonvirally-driven cancers. However, the association between collective known cancer-related immune gene variants and HNSCC susceptibility has not been fully characterized. Here, we conducted a genetic association study in the multiethnic Veterans Affairs Million Veteran Program cohort, evaluating 16,050 variants in 1,576 immune genes in 4,012 HNSCC cases (OPC = 1,823; non-OPC = 2,189) and 16,048 matched controls. Significant polymorphisms were further examined in a non-Hispanic white (NHW) validation cohort (OPC = 1,206; non-OPC = 955; controls = 4,507). For overall HNSCC susceptibility in NHWs, we discovered and validated a novel 9q31.1 SMC2 association and replicated the known 6p21.32 HLA-DQ-DR association. Six loci/genes for overall HNSCC susceptibility were selectively enriched in African-Americans (6p21.32 HLA-G, 9q21.33 GAS1, 11q12.2 CD6, 11q23.2 NCAM1/CD56, 17p13.1 CD68, 18q22.2 SOCS6); all 6 genes function in antigen-presenting regulation and T-cell activation. Two additional loci (10q26 DMBT1, 15q22.2 TPM1) were uncovered for non-OPC susceptibility, and three loci (11q24 CRTAM, 16q21 CDH5, 18q12.1 CDH2) were identified for HPV-positive OPC susceptibility. This study underscores the role of immune gene variants in modulating susceptibility for both HPV-driven and non-HPV-driven HNSCC. Additional large studies, particularly in racially diverse populations, are needed to further validate the associations and to help elucidate other potential immune factors and mechanisms that may underlie HNSCC risk. SIGNIFICANCE: Several inherited variations in immune system genes are significantly associated with susceptibility to head and neck cancer, which could help improve personalized cancer risk estimates.